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Round 5

One saved weekly assessment of Dark energy stays within 0.05 of w = −1 over redshifts zero to two in the CPL model., kept as it was published. It is an estimate from three models reading the evidence, not proof the hypothesis holds, and it did not set any price.

The round
Published
Nov 10, 2026 09:40 PM EST
Estimate
13%
Model spread
This round did not come from three live models, so it has no model spread to show.
Confident binary
No unanimous verdict this round.
Methodology
panel-v9
Round hash
256f6acb812969148c9a1db1c027b183d2a95a2db39375dbfaefabea4cb457f8

The hash commits to this round's recorded bytes. It does not prove the wording is sound or that the science is right.

What each model said
OpenAI 0.10

local-fallback

The live panel was called for this round and did not return three usable answers, so this is a placeholder around the previous estimate rather than an average of model output. It is not an assessment.

No sources recorded for this answer.

Anthropic 0.13

local-fallback

The live panel was called for this round and did not return three usable answers, so this is a placeholder around the previous estimate rather than an average of model output. It is not an assessment.

No sources recorded for this answer.

xAI 0.16

local-fallback

The live panel was called for this round and did not return three usable answers, so this is a placeholder around the previous estimate rather than an average of model output. It is not an assessment.

No sources recorded for this answer.

The round note and its sources

Round 5: score 0.13

Live panel did not return all three estimates (xAI failed or gave an unusable answer). A round is only live when all three are valid, so this round is a placeholder at the previous score rather than an average of two.

Audit bundle

No audit bundle is recorded for this round. A bundle from another round is not substituted for it.

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