About Science Markets
Conner Lambden
Conner Lambden builds Science Markets through Conner Productions LLC.
He studied molecular and cell biology, with a focus on immunology, and computer science at the University of California, Berkeley. He was a computational scientist at Brigham and Women's Hospital in Boston. His peer-reviewed research is on PubMed.
How the site works
YES and NO tokens trade in separate third-party pools. This site holds no user keys and runs no swaps, so you trade from your own wallet.
Science Markets holds its own treasury. It uses that treasury to build markets, back the tokens it issues and settle them. That is separate money, not yours, and it never gives us access to your wallet or the funds in it.
Three models read the same evidence every week and publish their answers, reasoning and sources on the market page. The weekly estimate does not set a price. Prices come from the pools.
The same three models decide how a market settles, and there the answer has to be unanimous. A market settles only when all three return the same explicit YES or NO against the rule frozen on its page, and that result is verified on chain. A missing report, a disagreement, or an undecided verdict leaves the market open. A settled market has no appeal.
A settled market never sends money to you. A winning token pays when you redeem it: one transaction you sign in your own wallet, which burns the token and releases 1 USDC from that market's reserve, less the disclosed fee. The wallet guide walks through it. Nobody here can take that step for you, which is also why nobody here can lose your money.
The methodology, the exact prompts sent to the models, the fees, the listing policy and the contract source are all on this site.
Access
Funded trading is opening market by market. Each market goes live once its deployment checks pass, and trading in a market that has not passed them stays closed.
Trading is not available from the United States or other restricted countries. The terms set the rules.
Nothing here is investment, legal or scientific advice. Read the risk disclosure and the terms and disclosures before you commit anything. You can lose everything you put in.
Contact
Corrections and questions go to [email protected].