Questions and answers

The market does, through buying and selling in Raydium's separate YES/USDC and NO/USDC pools. The weekly AI estimate does not move either price. Because one YES plus one NO is backed by 1 USDC, traders can create and undo pairs to pull the two prices back toward $1. Fees and thin liquidity can leave a gap.

0.40 USDC for one token, before swap fees and price impact. A saved spot price is not a quote you can trade at, and it is not a promise about the odds.

Three models read the same evidence, and the published number is their average. It is not a calibrated probability and not scientific truth. Each market page shows their reasoning and sources. A market whose first round has not run yet shows no estimate rather than a stand-in number, and such rounds stay out of the AI chart.

One YES plus one NO locks 1 USDC. After final settlement, a winning token pays 1 USDC before the disclosed redemption fee, and a losing token pays nothing. Mint fees and swap costs are charged separately.

No. A weekly update is a reading of the evidence, and it pays nobody. When a market finalizes, the winning token becomes redeemable, and you redeem it yourself from your own wallet. Settlement never sends money on its own. Every market settles the same way: three models return one matched explicit YES or NO against the frozen criteria, and that result finalizes on Solana. There is no appeal.

Three frozen trusted adapters and models must return the same explicit YES or NO verdict against the evidence criteria, using the same frozen context and packet. When they match, the reports are recorded and a settlement transaction goes to Solana. The site shows the result only after that transaction is finalized and the on-chain market account matches. A probability-only report, an UNDECIDED verdict, disagreement, or missing or invalid reports settle nothing. Signatures do not prove the science.

A market settles only once it is bound to a deployed program; a market without that binding cannot record an outcome. Methodology

Yes, while trading is open. You sell through Raydium, the exchange where these tokens trade. Thin liquidity can lower the price you get or stop the sale. There is no weekly cash-out at the AI estimate.

No. You can lose what you spend, fees included. You will not owe more than that.

No verified pool prices have been saved in the window you picked. Raydium's pool API reports current spot prices, not historical candles. We save prices going forward when the pool is configured, and we never fill gaps with AI history.

No. Markets, evidence and AI reasoning are public. Trading needs your own Solana wallet and has to meet the access rules. Start with the wallet guide.

Not from the United States or the other restricted countries listed in the terms. Check the market's trading status and pool links: if it has no configured pools, trading is not open there. The wallet guide walks through the steps, and the risk disclosure covers the rest.