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Round 5

One saved weekly assessment of Standardized adult dentate-neuron surviving additions exceed 0.1% in one year., kept as it was published. It is an estimate from three models reading the evidence, not proof the hypothesis holds, and it did not set any price.

The round
Published
Nov 10, 2026 09:31 PM EST
Estimate
44%
Model spread
This round did not come from three live models, so it has no model spread to show.
Confident binary
No unanimous verdict this round.
Methodology
panel-v9
Round hash
820d5b4b5d905b03d63b47cb88c48cfad628741fed4ff793ec74f4561afdef61

The hash commits to this round's recorded bytes. It does not prove the wording is sound or that the science is right.

What each model said
OpenAI 0.41

local-fallback

The live panel was called for this round and did not return three usable answers, so this is a placeholder around the previous estimate rather than an average of model output. It is not an assessment.

No sources recorded for this answer.

Anthropic 0.44

local-fallback

The live panel was called for this round and did not return three usable answers, so this is a placeholder around the previous estimate rather than an average of model output. It is not an assessment.

No sources recorded for this answer.

xAI 0.47

local-fallback

The live panel was called for this round and did not return three usable answers, so this is a placeholder around the previous estimate rather than an average of model output. It is not an assessment.

No sources recorded for this answer.

The round note and its sources

Round 5: score 0.44

Live panel did not return all three estimates (xAI failed or gave an unusable answer). A round is only live when all three are valid, so this round is a placeholder at the previous score rather than an average of two.

Audit bundle

No audit bundle is recorded for this round. A bundle from another round is not substituted for it.

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