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Scientific hypotheses, one market each. Compare recorded prices, read the evidence and check what would settle the market. You do not need a wallet to browse.

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"Open" is a status on the market. It is not confirmation that trading is available right now, and a recorded price is not a quote for your order.

PhysicsTrading paused
A QCD axion explains the strong force’s near symmetry.
YES price—
NO price—

No prices recorded

No AI estimate yetRead more →
PhysicsTrading paused
A specific proton decay rate exceeds the stated limit.
YES price—
NO price—

No prices recorded

This week's AI estimate 22%Read more →
Physics
At least one neutrino has a Majorana mass component.
YES price34¢
NO price66¢

Recorded price · before trading costs

This week's AI estimate 34%Read more →
PhysicsTrading paused
Dark energy stays close to a cosmological constant in the stated model.
YES price—
NO price—

No prices recorded

No AI estimate yetRead more →
Earth sciencesTrading paused
Doubling CO₂ raises equilibrium temperature by more than 3 °C.
YES price—
NO price—

No prices recorded

This week's AI estimate 38%Read more →
AstrobiologyTrading paused
Enceladus’s ocean contains reproducing cellular life.
YES price—
NO price—

No prices recorded

This week's AI estimate 25%Read more →
MathematicsTrading paused
Ideal three-dimensional fluid flow stays smooth.
YES price—
NO price—

No prices recorded

No AI estimate yetRead more →
NeuroscienceTrading paused
New adult brain neurons exceed the stated annual rate.
YES price—
NO price—

No prices recorded

No AI estimate yetRead more →
PhysicsTrading paused
New particles make up most dark matter.
YES price—
NO price—

No prices recorded

This week's AI estimate 68%Read more →
Earth sciencesTrading paused
One iron crystal structure beats another at a fixed pressure and temperature.
YES price—
NO price—

No prices recorded

This week's AI estimate 20%Read more →
BiologyTrading paused
Our cellular host ancestor arose within Asgard archaea.
YES price—
NO price—

No prices recorded

No AI estimate yetRead more →
Computer science
P equals NP.
YES price6¢
NO price94¢

Recorded price · before trading costs

This week's AI estimate 9%Read more →
Computer scienceTrading paused
Quantum sampling can exceed classical computing.
YES price—
NO price—

No prices recorded

This week's AI estimate 52%Read more →
ChemistryTrading paused
RNA alone can sustain its own replication.
YES price—
NO price—

No prices recorded

This week's AI estimate 28%Read more →
ChemistryTrading paused
Supercooled water has a liquid–liquid critical point.
YES price—
NO price—

No prices recorded

This week's AI estimate 58%Read more →
Mathematics
The Riemann hypothesis is true.
YES price60¢
NO price40¢

Recorded price · before trading costs

This week's AI estimate 60%Read more →